Last week’s Saturday commentary had some letters that looked at some broad, industry-wide issues. This week’s dives into some loan-level and program-specific issues of interest. It reminds us that the industry is filled with folks who love diving into the details.
A few weeks ago, I had some comments on mortgage insurance, including this note, “Regarding less than 20% down products, there is a very cost-effective option to the scenario: LPMI, or Lender Paid Mortgage insurance. Every time I simply do the math compared to getting MI this option wins all the time…” In response, I received several notes including these.
Aaron Ninness, a branch manager with New American Funding, supplied, “I wanted to note that in the last section where the reader notes LPMI being a lower payment, he doesn’t mention that a higher rate does lower how much of each payment goes towards principal reduction – so in some cases a client might want to go with monthly MI if they believe a home could be a short term hold to have more equity for the resale. Bottom line is LPMI does have its pros but it does have cons that should be explained by an LO to the consumer.”
Brian Hitchcock, a Senior Loan Officer, sent, “On the reader’s comments about lender paid MI (LPMI), I used to say the same thing, but with the changes in MI premiums, it is no longer true that LPMI is the best choice, at least not at all credit scores. For example, let’s take a $200,000 purchase with 10% down, par rate is 4.125% with a credit score of 750. The MI cost monthly would be $64.92 and it would be in place for 95 months for a total cost of $6167. Alternately, the One Time Up-Front MI cost would be 1.95% which equates to $3,705 as a one-time cost or, if financed in, $17.96 per month for the life of the loan, totaling $6465 in cost (much less if you live there less than 30 years). The reader said he would raise the rate and cover the 1.95% hit, pricing today, that would take the rate from 4.125% to 4.625% and raise the payment by $48 a month for the life of the loan. If his comment is correct that he can raise the rate as little as a quarter point, it still raises the payment $24 a month for a total cost of $8,769.
“The 80/10 that the reader dismissed has a total MI cost of zero, is starting at a rate that is lower than the fixed portion of the financing, and, if you apply what would be your regular amortized payment and MI cost, the line would be paid down rapidly and no longer factor into the payment at all. Equity lines are tools, and buyers need to be educated on how to use them before getting caught behind an interest only payment. You can smash your finger with a hammer but, if you use it right, you can build beautiful things.”
Chris C. e-mailed, “When I was actively originating, I used LPMI for just about ALL deals where the buyers were financing with less than 20% down. Your article quotes someone who also likes the setup. Since no one knows whether separate borrower-paid MI will continue to be deductible in any subsequent tax year, using LPMI ensures full deductibility as long as Mortgage Interest is still deductible. As your reader said, the rate bump is small when comparing to BPMI, which is partially offset by the additional tax savings for the life of the loan.”
Gary Scoma, an industry vet with 25 years in credit policy and underwriting and who helps companies find and train underwriters, sent a note of warning about K-1s and “ordinary income vs. distributions. “In the past, Lenders could simply use ordinary income on the K-1 for qualifying on a Fannie Mae loan. That all changed on February 1, 2016, when Fannie updated its policy, requiring lenders to do a more in-depth analysis in order to use this income. Now, one year later, there is still uncertainty on how to interpret and apply the guideline.
“The rule states business income, which is defined as ordinary income, net rental real estate income, and other net rental income on the K-1 may only be used to qualify if: The Borrower has a stable history of receiving cash distributions equal to or greater than the business income; or the business has adequate liquidity to support the withdrawal of the income. There are many different scenarios that can make it difficult to apply these new criteria. For example, a borrower may have stable distributions, but they are less than the business income. And there are many other examples.
“What if distributions are insufficient to qualify? If this is the case, you must document that the business had adequate liquidity to support withdrawal of the earnings. Discretion may be used in selecting the method to confirm adequate liquidity. Fannie, however, does publish the following acceptable formulas based on schedule L of the business tax return: Quick Ratio (1065 business with inventory) = current assets (box 1, 2b, 4, 5, 6) / current liabilities (box 15, 16, 17). Current Ratio (1065 business with no inventory) = current assets (box 1, 2b, 3, 4, 5, 6) / current liabilities (box 15, 16, 17).
“For either ratio, a result of one or greater is generally sufficient to confirm liquidity. The challenge is that businesses come in all shapes and sizes and the accounting method can add another variable. If you aren’t meeting the ratio test, there may be alternative methods to prove adequate liquidity, such as a YTD P&L or recent business bank statements. Some underwriters will automatically apply a conservative approach, so it’s important to present a detailed and persuasive argument.
“Also, be aware that different Lenders may have overlays and or a more-narrow interpretation on this topic so proceed carefully.” (Thank you, Gary! If you’d like to reach Gary about training underwriters, click on the link above.)
Shifting to the vagaries in relying on a single credit score, and how a skilled LO can help a client, I received this note. “Client #1 has a perfect credit report – extensive history of all types of credit (revolving and installment) with NO LATE PAYMENTS ever. The client has extremely low credit card balances as compared to the card limits, and has no public records for judgments etc. Client’s score: 704. Not bad, right? Let’s say for the sake of argument the rate available to this client on a 30-year fixed rate was 4% (obviously, items factors in here). Looking at the credit report we see two medical collection accounts each for $100, each about a year old, and each paid about a year prior to running the current credit report. By entirely REMOVING the insignificant (paid) collection accounts from the report the clients score went from 704 to 798 which resulted in an available rate almost .375% lower than what was previously available with the 704 score…and in the case where a client needed private mortgage insurance there would be a significant savings for scores over 720 than those under 720. Hmmm.
“Client #2: all factors were essentially the same as Client #1 with a score of 697. Client #2 had a $90 open collection account (collection account was first reported about 2 years earlier and was currently being reported as an outstanding obligation) with Comcast. By removing the account entirely (NOT simply paying it off and updating the account but actually having the collection company advise the reporting bureaus to REMOVE the account entirely from the client’s credit report profile) the score increased from 694 to 804 resulting in a most significant lowering of the available rate to the client.”
“These are not anomalies, but are very typical examples of how small items on someone’s report disproportionally impact the credit score resulting in significantly higher interest rate offerings. Patently unfair and more common than you might think. Does a $100 medical collection really portend future bill-paying calamity for a client? Should a $90 collection account really change a client’s score by over 100 points?”
And this in-depth note from a veteran capital markets exec. “How much did the CFPB cost consumers through financial institutions increasing fees / rates to cover expected costs? How much has the CFPB cost consumers with DTI > 43% (those who need the most relief) by either a) forcing them to continue to pay rent, or b) actual cost of financing loans with >43% DTI?
“For example, when I run a program search on a very popular pricing engine and compare a 43 DTI vs a 44 DTI in the non-conforming space, for a 60% LTV / 800 FICO (ZERO CREDIT RISK by anyone’s standards…well, anyone with a functioning brain that has a couple weeks of experience in mortgage credit analysis), 97.68 (2 lenders total show up), 102.5 (40 lenders show up).
“So, the CFPB’s myopic assessment of 43% as some meaningful cutoff in mortgage toxicity (just as ignorant as the rating agency assumption stated vs. full doc performance could be extrapolated from low LTV to high LTV with no performance history in a recession) resulted in a 482bp cost for borrowers, if they can find one of the two lenders offering it on this pricing engine (down from 40 lenders at 43% DTI).
“Translating that into origination dollars in comparison to what they ‘saved’ consumers over 5 years, we are talking about a break even for the consumer at $50 billion of originations per year with DTI over 43% (that rule cost consumers $12 billion over 5 years if the industry would have originated $50B / year of the product or ~3% of the total originations).
“Outside of the CFPB QM / NON-QM 43% DTI cutoff, nobody charges for 44% or 48% or 52% DTI (there is no such adjustment on any AGENCY or FHA or VA rate sheets I have seen), so this is purely a regulatory cost the borrowers are facing because their rules destroyed market liquidity for any non-agency loan with a DTI over 43%.
“Those loans made up much more than 3% of the market prior to the regulation taking effect, and the much bigger cost to consumers and the economy today is that those borrowers largely just get shut out of the market because there are so few lending options for them. The increased rate increases their DTI as well.
Furthering the example, let’s say you have a 43% DTI on a $500k loan at 4.5%. Your friend has a 46% DTI with the same attributes…however, the extra 482bps in price translates to ~1.25% higher in rate in non-QM land so he is going to get charged 5.75%. That’s HPML territory (with even fewer lenders), but more importantly, your friend’s DTI at the higher rate is no longer 46% (it’s now over 50% where virtually nobody lends in the non-GSE / non-government space).
“So, the bigger cost isn’t the billions of dollars consumers are charged for the arbitrary ‘QM’ rules, it’s the fact that they are watching rents skyrocket as they get shut out of the housing market all together. Many in Washington wonder why the purchase market has been so slow during the recover ($300B / year slower than one would expect)…it’s not rocket science we’re talking about, it’s basic economics 101.
“The real cost to the economy and consumers over the past 5 years could easily top $300 billion with the purchase market getting shorted by $300B / year over the past 5 years (relative to a normal recovery) and consumers watching home prices go up by ~35% over that time (Case-Schiller). Let’s just call it average gains of 17% on $2.5T of missed purchases ($255B), + how much extra they paid in rent (as rents increased) vs. the mortgage payment (likely another $100B).
I do think the consumer needs to understand this next time they vote, and the lawmakers that put this in place need to understand the context of the $12 billion in savings vs. what they cost consumers…. it’s just insane that the CFPB touts saving $12B over 5 years…how is that even worth mentioning?”
The room was full of pregnant women with their husbands.
The instructor said, “Ladies, remember that exercise is good for you. Walking is especially beneficial. It strengthens the pelvic muscles and will make delivery that much easier. Just pace yourself, make plenty of stops and try to stay on a soft surface like grass or a path.”
“Gentlemen, remember — you’re in this together. It wouldn’t hurt you to go walking with her. In fact, that shared experience would be good for you both.”
The room became very quiet as the men absorbed and pondered this information.
After a few moments, a man at the back of the room, slowly raised his hand.
“Yes?” asked the instructor.
“I was just wondering if it would be all right if she carried a golf bag?”
This level of sensitivity just can’t be taught.
(Copyright 2017 Chrisman LLC. All rights reserved. Occasional paid job listings do appear. This report or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of Rob Chrisman.)
- Dec. 31: Rates, the Fed, world economies, affordability, and the shutdown – all tied together - December 31, 2018
- Dec. 29: FEMA reverses flood ruling; cybersecurity notes; observations on general housing trends - December 29, 2018
- Dec. 28: Doc automation product; FHA & VA changes around our biz; Agency deals continue to share risk - December 28, 2018